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| 7:16pm EDT, Thu Sep 2 |
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Netflix Puts Faith in Online Video, Adds 700,000+ Subscribers
By:
The Online Reporter
Publish Date: January 30, 2009
Complete articles are posted three weeks after they have been sent to subscribers. To request a copy of the current edition, e-mail paperboy@riderresearch.com .
| - What Recession?
- Soon: No Box Needed
- Any Screen, Anywhere, No Extra Fee
Netflix is proving to be more aptly named than anyone ever expected.
The online video streaming and physical movie rental service is using
the Net to drive professional content to users everywhere and is
making large gains, expecting to reach nearly 11 million subscribers
this quarter.
While Netflix is still predominantly a DVD delivery service, its
“Watch Instantly” offering is catching everyone’s attention,
especially with its recent announcement of reaching more than 9
million users. Netflix is putting faith in streaming video over an
Internet connection, but it’s also putting a lot of faith in the TV
set.
Netflix has made its way onto a variety of devices, from the Roku
player to Blu-ray players to Microsoft’s Xbox 360 (gold membership
required). Microsoft announced there were 17 million Xbox Live
members as of this January, all potential customers.
It will eventually be embedded in TVs. LG has also said it will build
new TV sets that have access to Netflix embedded in them, which could
be another nail in the coffin of its competition.
Wedbush Morgan Securities analyst Michael Pachter told BusinessWeek
that he expects 800,000 Xbox Live gold users were already Netflix
subscribers when the service was added to the Xbox, and that 200,000
more subscribers and gold members are on their way.
Users Up 26%
Netflix has seemingly ignored the recession, reporting a big jump in
subscribers for its movie-rental service last fall, to 9.39 million,
a 26% increase from a year ago. Netflix also reported a 45% increase
in net income for Q4 2008, $22.7 million from $15.7 million a year
ago.
For Q4 2008, Netflix saw its revenue climb 19% year over year to
$359.6 million, and it also added more than 700,000 subscribers. It
expects to reach 11 million subscribers in Q1 of 2009.
Netflix attributes its growth to both its traditional DVD rentals and
its Internet movie streaming options. The online streaming service is
free with most subscriptions and has found its way to some very
prominent devices. It currently offers more than 12,000 titles for
streaming.
“It’s very clear that streaming is energizing our growth,” Netflix
chief executive Reed Hastings said on the company’s earnings call
Monday. Hastings noted that DVD rentals still make up the bulk of
Netflix revenue and he expects that market to grow until at least
2013. But he said the company would be working with studios and
putting an emphasis on streaming deals.
The surging numbers make Netflix very attractive when looking at the
whole market, especially when looking at services that require
branded boxes like Apple TV and Vudu.
Ahead of the Game
The Internet is the future of professional content and content
delivery, and Netflix knows it. Content is becoming more available on
more screens, whether it’s Hulu bringing TV to the monitor or YouTube
finding its way to the TV, the market is quickly approaching an any-
content, any-screen reality.
Netflix is ahead in this market because it has a great product, great
deals and was one of the first to really understand the market.
People are spending more and more time in front of the PC and TV
because of the content now available to them, and Netflix has forged
an alliance of console makers and studios for its streaming services,
while having a huge library of titles for physical rental.
The chart on this page looks at its deals and the closest
competition’s.
CompanyConsolePriceDeals with:NetflixPC or MacVariesNBC Universal
Xbox 360199Sony PicturesRoku Box99MGMTiVo BoxVaries20th Century FoxLG
BD300 Network Blu-Ray player349CBS/ParamountSamsung BD P2500 or BD-
P2550399ABC/DisneyWarner Bros.Lionsgate EntertainmentNew Line
CinemaStarzVuduVudu Box299Lionsgate EntertainmentVudu Box XL999New
Line CinemaVudu Box XL21299Paramount PicturesSony Pictures
Entertainment20th Century FoxUniversal StudiosThe Walt Disney
StudiosWB StudioBlockbusterMediaPoint player99Paramount
PicturesMobile DevicesVariesSony Pictures EntertainmentMGMUniversal
PicturesWB EntertainmentBuena Vista Pictures20th Century FoxKoch
EntertainmentApple Apple TV229DisneyCBSNBC Universal News
Corp.ViacomTime WarnerDiscoveryBBCAmazonAmazon TiVo onDemand
143.97Disney/ABCPixarCBSNBC Universal News
Corp.ViacomDiscoveryBBCStarz EntertainmentThe Watch Instantly Gang
Recap
Netflix’s “Watch Instantly” feature has been picked up by some major
players and is a list that any competitor would love to have. The
model has almost become one where everyone wins. Netflix makes its
money off subscription fees, hardware makers end up selling more
hardware and customers get access to more titles.
Here’s a recap of companies, products and dates important to the
evolution of the service.
— Initially the service gave one hour of streaming per dollar spent,
so a $16.99 plan gave 17 hours of streaming media.
— January 2008: Netflix removed the restriction on hours and extended
the service to plans of about $9 and over.
— October 2008: Starz Entertainment partnered with Netflix, boosting
its Watch Instantly offerings to more than 12,000 movies and TV
shows.
— Online streaming started off with Windows PCs using Vista, but made
its way to Mac computers, also in October 2008.
— Netflix and TiVo announced a partnership in October and the
streaming service went live on Series 3 and TiVo HD devices in
December 2008.
— November 19, 2008: Netflix launched its HD streaming options, and
the service went live on the Xbox Live.
— Samsung and LG previously announced Blu-ray players that support
the service, but at the 2009 CES showed off new models expected to
also contain this connectivity.
— LG and Vizio have since announced plans to make the service
available on some new TV sets this spring.
The Future: Any Screen, Anywhere, One Flat Fee
If Netflix has its way, the future of its streaming service and video
in general will be any screen, anywhere at no extra charge. That last
bit is the magic that probably made Netflix the amazing service that
it is.
The “no extra fee” merged an à-la-carte service with an all-you-can-
eat buffet.
Users with a $9 and up subscription to Netflix still get access to
the over 100,000 movie titles for physical rental, but the chance to
watch 12,000 titles instantly is purely a bonus. The free part of the
deal can actually be more compelling than the rental service, because
it can happen on the road or at the house of a friend who has an
Xbox.
At this point in the game, everyone else is playing catch-up.
Blockbuster has announced a new deal with Sonic Solutions that could
bring some heavy competition — if it works the way they’re hoping it
does.
Recent figures from Media Control GfK show that video-game sales
reached $32 billion in 2008, beating out the $29 billion combined DVD
and Blu-ray disc sales. If Netflix can jump onto another system, it
could still keep its lead in spite of the Blockbuster deal.
Nintendo’s Wii and Sony’s PlayStation 3 have both recently begun
testing YouTube for Television, so they both obviously like Internet
video on their systems.
With Nintendo reporting this week that it has sold 44.96 million
total Wiis worldwide and 4 million of those sold in the US in the
past two months alone, that platform would be a great place for any
online video service to jump on. |
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